Sevilla Alaves Matchday 12 Preview: Home Response After Getafe Defeat Meets Winless Alaves

The Sevilla Alaves Matchday 12 preview starts with a home side in need of a response and a visiting side in need of a win. Sevilla host Deportivo Alaves at Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan on Friday 6 November, with kick off at 21:00 CET in the opening fixture of Matchday 12. Sevilla sit sixth in LaLiga with 17 points from 11 matches, while Alaves sit 11th with 12 points from 11 matches. The gap between the two sides is five points, and the match carries importance for both clubs for different reasons.

The Matchday 12 fixture at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan follows a difficult weekend for both clubs. Sevilla lost 3-1 at Getafe on Sunday 1 November, and the defeat ended a run of form that had included a 2-0 win over Osasuna. Alaves lost 6-1 at Barcelona on Saturday 31 October, and the heavy defeat at Spotify Camp Nou extended a winless run that now stands at seven matches in all competitions. The Friday fixture gives both sides a chance to change the mood before the international break.

Sevilla will aim to use home advantage to return to winning ways. The club have scored 17 goals in 11 league matches, with Isaac Romero as the top scorer for the side. Alaves have scored 15 goals in 11 league matches, with Lucas Boye as the top scorer for the side. The figures show two sides that can score goals, but the recent results show two sides that have conceded too many goals in key matches.

Sevilla Alaves Matchday 12 preview: form and recent results

Sevilla arrive at the fixture after a mixed run of results. The recent form data for Sevilla includes a 3-1 defeat at Getafe, a 3-0 win over Sporting Hortaleza in the Copa del Rey, a 2-0 win over Osasuna in LaLiga, a 4-1 defeat at Real Madrid, a 3-3 draw at Levante and a 1-3 home defeat to Barcelona. The run shows a side that can win at home and compete away, but also a side that has conceded heavily in defeats to Real Madrid and Barcelona.

Alaves arrive at the fixture after a run without a win. The recent form data for Alaves includes the 6-1 defeat at Barcelona, a 1-1 draw with Malaga, a 2-1 defeat at Celta Vigo, a 2-1 home defeat to Atletico Madrid, a 0-0 draw at Athletic Club and a 1-0 home defeat to Valencia. The run shows a side that has stayed close in several matches, but the winless run has placed pressure on the team to find a result away from home.

The head to head history between the two sides adds context to the preview. The teams last met in a 1-1 league draw in February 2026, with Alaves winning the previous Copa del Rey meeting 1-0. Sevilla hold an 8-5 head to head advantage across the last 20 meetings, although Alaves have avoided defeat in several recent encounters. The history suggests a close match, and the Friday fixture could follow a similar pattern.

What the data analysis says about Sevilla against Alaves

Data analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests that the most likely outcome is a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.92 percent. A draw has a probability of 26.73 percent, and a win for Alaves has a probability of 26.34 percent. The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.57 percent. The next most likely scorelines for a Sevilla win are 2-1 at 9.36 percent and 2-0 at 8.18 percent. The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 at 12.21 percent, while the likeliest Alaves win is 0-1 at 8.08 percent.

The figures show Sevilla as favourites, but the gap to a draw or an Alaves win remains narrow. The probability for both teams to score stands at 50.2 percent, and the probability for over 1.5 goals stands at 72.44 percent. The figures point to a match with goals, but the figures do not point to a comfortable win for either side. Sevilla must manage the match with care, and Alaves will aim to frustrate the home side and take a chance on the break.

Table: Sevilla and Alaves before Matchday 12

Team	Position	Points	Goals scored	Top scorer
Sevilla	6th	17	17	Isaac Romero
Alaves	11th	12	15	Lucas Boye

Key battles and talking points for Friday night

The key battle for Sevilla will be control in midfield and speed in attack. Sevilla must move the ball quickly against an Alaves side that will aim to stay compact and limit space in the final third. Isaac Romero will lead the attack for Sevilla, and the forward will aim to add to a tally that makes Romero the top scorer for the club this season. The home crowd at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan will expect a strong start, and an early goal would ease pressure on a side that lost heavily at Getafe.

The key battle for Alaves will be defensive discipline and efficiency in attack. Alaves must avoid the kind of early goals that shaped the defeat at Barcelona, and the visiting side must stay in the match through the first half. Lucas Boye will lead the attack for Alaves, and the forward will aim to test a Sevilla defence that conceded three goals at Getafe. A point away from home would end a difficult run and give Alaves a platform for the matches after the international break.

The fixture also matters for the wider table. Sevilla sit sixth with 17 points, and a win would keep the club in touch with Real Sociedad on 19 points and Real Betis on 23 points. Alaves sit 11th with 12 points, and a win would lift the club above several rivals in a congested middle of the table. A defeat for Alaves would extend the winless run to eight matches and increase pressure before the next round.

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